July 28, 2009
Colorado at the Top in Economic Recovery
Colorado is predicted to be one of the first states to show signs of economic recovery.
When will the nation's economy turn around and which states will be the first to see the benefits of a rebound? Prognosticators that painted a gloomy picture for 2009 are now seeing the first signs of light at the end of the tunnel.
A new monthly "adversity index" compiled by Moody's and MSNBC.com in June 2009 measures employment, industrial production, housing starts and housing prices to forecast recovery times for states and metro areas.
"States that have a high concentration in tech-related industries are well positioned to take advantage of this trend, which is particularly true of Colorado, Idaho, Oregon and Washington and to a lesser extent, Texas," said economist Andrew Gledhill of Moody's Economy.com.
States that have been the last to see the recession, like Colorado, will likely be the first to see significant improvements, economists say. Additionally, states with a diverse form of growth that have not been reliant on single forms of growth like manufacturing, will see the first signs of rebounding.
Investigative reporter Bill Dedman considered the adversity index and wrote, "The recession didn't start at the same time in every state, and it won't end at the same time either. . . . Jobs growth will return first in those five states, starting in the last quarter of this year. Four of those states benefit from strong high-tech industries, and the fifth, Texas, has a strong base of energy industries."
Stephen Titus of Colorado Biz writes, "Developers see a recovering demand for new homes, not on the same scale as the roaring '90s, but driven by the same market forces: professionals who typically work in Denver or Colorado Springs but don't mind the 20-minute commute to either of Colorado's two largest cities."
Titus could well be talking about Castle Rock, in Douglas County. Living in Castle Rock provides a commuter easy access to jobs in Colorado Springs, Denver and the Denver Tech Center. Douglas County has seen some of the most positive economic growth in the state for decades. Housing developments in the Castle Rock area, like The Meadows, remain an attractive place to live, giving people a taste of quality country life within easy reach of the city.
Colorado and Texas's housing growth has remained steadier in the past decade and both states were "among the last to join the recession, in large part due to lingering impacts from the energy boom of years past," Gledhill said. "Similarly, other expected early risers such as Washington and Colorado were relatively late to join the recession for various reasons. Thus, as conditions begin to turn nationally, they have less of a hole to dig themselves out of."
The state's government has been acutely aware of economic issues and has been active in attacking them head-on. A June 2009 bill signed by Gov. Bill Ritter was designed to modernize the state budget. "This modernization act levels the playing field," Ritter said. "This is a fiscally responsible measure that maintains one of the nation's tightest caps on spending and does not raise taxes. It simply provides greater flexibility so the state can make wiser investments with existing resources."
The state's gross domestic product has continued to increase each year from 2003 ($187 billion) to 2007 ($236 billion) according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The BEA's March 2009 report showed that U.S. personal income growth slowed to 3.9 percent in 2008 but Colorado's personal income increased 4.9 percent from 2007 to 2008 (10th in the nation), and the state's population increased 2 percent, making it the fifth-most popular state to move to. CNN Money lists Denver as the seventh-best place to live and launch a new company, and fourth in the nation for receiving federal government funding through the Small Business Innovation Research program.
Chris Blackwood, managing director of Denver's Davidson Fixed Management group, says, "Colorado is a growth state. Colorado has done better in almost every sector of the economy than the nation." He cites statistics that show Colorado's better than average growth with the rest of the nation due to its diverse economic makeup that consists of high technology, education, health services, oil, and the always strong tourist trade.
As investigative reporter Dedman wrote, "If you want to be in the right place when the recovery starts, that place may be in Colorado, Idaho, Oregon, Texas or Washington."
Written by John S. Craig
SOURCES
Bureau of Economic Analysis
Office of the Governor of Colorado
CBS4 Denver report, "Colorado Insulated from Some Economic Woes"
Titus, Stephen. http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1G1-116041672.html
Rutberg, Shana. Best places to start a business, CNN Money http://money.cnn.com/galleries/2008/fsb/0803/gallery.best_places_to_launch.fsb/7.html

With Qwest, Level 3 and DirecTV in the Denver area, telecommunications is also a Colorado growth industry that will continue to look for new employees. Other cutting-edge industries with a strong state presence include biotechnology, nanotechnology and photonics, where Colorado ranks fifth in the nation.
income has become a vital center for cutting-edge technology companies, oil production, military and federal installations, lucrative sports franchises, energy-efficient companies, and the ever-booming tourist trade. Colorado often has been the place where entrepreneurs and new businesses have planted their seeds. In August 2008, the Danish company Vestas committed $700 million to build the world's largest wind tower manufacturing plant in Colorado, an act that Gov. Bill Ritter claims will create as many as 2,500 jobs.
In February 2009, Namaste Solar's Blake Jones gave President Obama and Vice President Joe Biden a tour of the 18 rows of solar panels on the roof of the Denver Museum of Natural History. Jones noted that the panels generated enough solar energy to power 30 homes. The Solar Energy Industries Association expects the creation of 120,000 new solar industry jobs in the next two years.
This new energy-efficient technology is based on wind, solar and biofuel energy, not to mention a producer of about 650 new full-time jobs in Colorado. Currently Vestas Wind Systems has 200 workers and is currently hiring about 20 new workers each week.
Rock, a town that feature a unique blend of small-town charm with big city amenities. Conveniently located near prime shopping opportunities at the Outlets at Castle Rock and nestled snugly between Denver and Colorado Springs, 